TY - JOUR
T1 - The significance of APACHE II as a predictor of mortality in paraquat poisoning
T2 - A systematic review and meta-analysis
AU - Kaur, Harsimran
AU - Chandran, Viji Pulikkel
AU - Rashid, Muhammed
AU - Kunhikatta, Vijayanarayana
AU - Poojari, Pooja Gopal
AU - Bakkannavar, Shankar M.
AU - Balakrishnan, Jayaraj Mymbilly
AU - Thunga, Girish
N1 - Funding Information:
The authors would like to acknowledge the Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, Manipal College of Pharmaceutical Sciences and Department of Pharmacy Practice. The authors would also like to acknowledge the Department of Forensic Medicine and the Department of Emergency Medicine, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, India for all the support and infrastructure facilities which aided in completing this study in the best possible manner.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Elsevier Ltd and Faculty of Forensic and Legal Medicine
PY - 2023/7
Y1 - 2023/7
N2 - The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system is utilised as a prognostic method in paraquat poisoning; however, current evidence shows ambiguity. Although some studies have shown APACHE II to be a superior tool, others have reported it inferior to other prognostic markers, such as lactate, severity index of paraquat poisoning and urine paraquat concentration. Hence, to address this ambiguity, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to analyse prognostic accuracy of APACHE II score in predicting mortality in paraquat poisoning. We included twenty studies with 2524 paraquat poisoned patients in the systematic review, after a comprehensive literature search in databases PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus and Cochrane Library, from which 16 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The survivors of paraquat poisoning were found to have significantly lower APACHE II scores (Mean Difference (MD): -5.76; 95% CI: -7.93 to -3.60 p < 0.0001; n = 16 studies) compared to non-survivors. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) for APACHE II score <9 was found to be 74%, 68%, 2.58, 0.38 and 7.10, respectively (n = 5 studies). The area under the curve (AUC) of the bivariate summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve was found to be 0.80. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR and DOR for APACHE II score ≥9 was found to be 73%, 86%, 4.69, 0.33 and 16.42, respectively (n = 9 studies). The AUC of the SROC curve was found to be 0.89. Pairwise AUC comparison of APACHE II with other prognostic markers showed serum presepsin to have a significantly better discriminatory ability than APACHE II. Through the findings of this study, we conclude that APACHE II was found to be a good indicator of death in paraquat poisoning patients. However, higher APACHE II scores (≥9) depicted greater specificity in predicting mortality in paraquat poisoning. Thus, APACHE II can be used as a practical tool in the hand of physicians to prognose patients with paraquat poisoning to aid clinical decisions.
AB - The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system is utilised as a prognostic method in paraquat poisoning; however, current evidence shows ambiguity. Although some studies have shown APACHE II to be a superior tool, others have reported it inferior to other prognostic markers, such as lactate, severity index of paraquat poisoning and urine paraquat concentration. Hence, to address this ambiguity, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to analyse prognostic accuracy of APACHE II score in predicting mortality in paraquat poisoning. We included twenty studies with 2524 paraquat poisoned patients in the systematic review, after a comprehensive literature search in databases PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus and Cochrane Library, from which 16 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The survivors of paraquat poisoning were found to have significantly lower APACHE II scores (Mean Difference (MD): -5.76; 95% CI: -7.93 to -3.60 p < 0.0001; n = 16 studies) compared to non-survivors. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) for APACHE II score <9 was found to be 74%, 68%, 2.58, 0.38 and 7.10, respectively (n = 5 studies). The area under the curve (AUC) of the bivariate summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve was found to be 0.80. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR and DOR for APACHE II score ≥9 was found to be 73%, 86%, 4.69, 0.33 and 16.42, respectively (n = 9 studies). The AUC of the SROC curve was found to be 0.89. Pairwise AUC comparison of APACHE II with other prognostic markers showed serum presepsin to have a significantly better discriminatory ability than APACHE II. Through the findings of this study, we conclude that APACHE II was found to be a good indicator of death in paraquat poisoning patients. However, higher APACHE II scores (≥9) depicted greater specificity in predicting mortality in paraquat poisoning. Thus, APACHE II can be used as a practical tool in the hand of physicians to prognose patients with paraquat poisoning to aid clinical decisions.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85162133189
UR - https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85162133189&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jflm.2023.102548
DO - 10.1016/j.jflm.2023.102548
M3 - Review article
C2 - 37327568
AN - SCOPUS:85162133189
SN - 1752-928X
VL - 97
JO - Journal of Forensic and Legal Medicine
JF - Journal of Forensic and Legal Medicine
M1 - 102548
ER -